Current composite phase: Expansion · 39/60 points · Latest data as of 2026-10-23.
The global financial system is a living body: money (liquidity) is the Blood, and assets are the Organs. Blood never stands still — depending on the economy's "weather" (the cycle), the body pumps blood toward one organ or pulls it from another to survive and grow.
The winner is whoever moves their "Blood" into the right "Organ" for each phase of the economic cycle.39/60 points from 34 indicators; mostly US economic data. This is not a world index.
General phase implication: Aggressive: stocks + RE
Selective risk-on — trim growth winners, rotate into real assets. BTC / ETH (trim into late phase) · Index funds (S&P 500, Nasdaq-100) · Gold / PAXG (start accumulating)
Highest group: Credit · 10/10
Lowest group: Inflation · 4/10
The clock turns the state of 6 groups of macro indicators into a score on a 60-point scale, then places that score in one of four phases. The composite score mainly describes the US economy; the regional needles are a separate view from leading indicators or proxy data, not money currently flowing.
Most series have a FRED code you can look up; ISM PMI comes from ForexFactory when data is available. The regional needles use OECD CLI via FRED, Eurostat ESI or US–Vietnam trade data. The Global needle averages the regions with a 100-based index, excluding Vietnam.
Page built at 2026-10-24 14:29 (GMT+7); each series has its own release schedule. Sources: FRED · St. Louis Fed; OECD CLI via FRED; Eurostat ESI; ISM PMI from ForexFactory when available.
The composite needle is in the Expansion phase, at 39/60 points from 34 indicators. Aggressive: stocks + RE. This score is a snapshot of published data, not an asset price forecast.
Economic indicator: 99.43 ↘ · previous 99.55.
Components: US · China · Europe · Asia · Oceania. Excludes Vietnam because its indicator uses %YoY.
Dates by component: US 2026-09-01 · China 2026-09-01 · Asia 2026-09-01 · Oceania 2026-09-01
OECD CLI: 101.00 ↗ · previous 100.95.
Data as of 2026-09-01
OECD CLI: 97.41 ↘ · previous 97.64.
Data as of 2026-09-01
Eurostat ESI: 97.90 ↘ · previous 98.30.
Economic indicator: 100.88 ↘ · previous 100.89.
Data as of 2026-09-01
Economic indicator: 99.95 ↘ · previous 99.99.
Data as of 2026-09-01
Economic indicator: 60.97% ↗ · previous 46.85%.
Data as of 2026-08-01
The allocation in the selected needle's detail is the template table for the corresponding phase. The model uses one table per phase, not adjusted separately for each region; the composite needle uses the composite phase. Reference information, not investment advice.
The cycle does not follow a calendar. It follows the data — and the data changes slowly, over months.
Defensive: bonds + cash
Accumulate cyclicals
Aggressive: stocks + RE
De-risk: take profit
Each group answers a different question. Each indicator shows its scoring thresholds and its source data code.
Count colors: green = favorable (1 point) · yellow = neutral (0.5 points) · white = weak but not red (0.5 points) · red = unfavorable (0 points). Each group's score is normalized to 10.
Is the economy producing more goods and services, or fewer?
See 7 indicators▾Do people have jobs and rising incomes? This group reacts slowly but is the hardest to fake.
See 7 indicators▾Are prices rising fast enough to force the central bank to act?
See 4 indicators▾Is money cheap or expensive? Is the yield curve inverted — the most watched sign of recession?
See 7 indicators▾Are businesses and consumers optimistic or afraid? This group runs ahead of the hard data.
See 4 indicators▾Are banks willing to lend? Tightening credit is the first thing that chokes the economy.
See 5 indicators▾The clock does not pick trades. It picks the risk level — and whether to run at all.
The clock does not say which pair to buy or sell. It answers a different question: what percentage of capital to put at risk right now. The Peak and Recession phases are both times to reduce, though for opposite reasons.
There are phases when the best move is to stay out. A trend-following system running through a market that keeps changing direction will lose steadily — and that is not the system's fault.
DinexSpace's 9 EAs publish their trading hours on each EA's page. Compare the major data release calendar with those hours to decide whether to switch the EA off around news.
The clock's greatest value comes when you look back: the EA Trading Bot lost last month — which phase was the market in? Without context, every losing streak looks the same.
DinexSpace's 9 EAs publish their trading hours on each EA's page — see each EA's trading hours, then compare them with the red-news calendar to see which window major data releases fall into.
Said up front so nobody reads a table of indicators as advice.
Most of the composite indicators have a FRED code; ISM PMI can come from ForexFactory. The regional needles use OECD CLI, Eurostat ESI or a US–Vietnam trade indicator.
The green/yellow/red/white status is converted into points, each group is normalized to 10, and the six groups are added up. Each indicator's thresholds are shown for comparison.
The clock describes the cycle currently under way based on published data. It does not say what prices will do next month.
DinexSpace's EAs do NOT read this macro data. They run on their own trading hours and rules. The clock is a tool for the operator.
The system splits 34 macro indicators into six groups. Each group is normalized to a maximum of 10 points; the maximum total is 60. A total of 0–20 is Recession, 21–30 is Recovery, 31–45 is Expansion and above 45 is Peak.
Each indicator in green status gets 1 point, yellow or white gets 0.5 points, red gets 0 points. The total is divided by the number of indicators in the group, multiplied by 10 and rounded; the six group scores are added into the composite score.
The composite needle mainly uses US macro series via FRED; ISM PMI can come from ForexFactory. The regional needles use OECD CLI via FRED for many regions, Eurostat ESI for Europe, and US import growth from Vietnam as a proxy indicator for Vietnam. The Global needle is the average of the current and previous levels of at least 3 regions with a 100-based index, excluding Vietnam because the Vietnam indicator is %YoY. Regions with missing data are not shown.
The system compares the current indicator level with the previous period to see whether it is rising or falling, then compares it with a benchmark: 100 for index-type indicators, 0 for Vietnam's year-on-year trade growth. At or above the benchmark and rising is Expansion; at or above and falling is Peak; below and rising is Recovery; below and falling is Recession.
No. The clock is a research tool for operators to compare the macro context with their trading system. It does not create entry signals or promise any EA Trading Bot performance.
The backend caches the cycle result for at most one hour. The LIVE label appears if at least one composite indicator was refreshed from an online source; the other indicators may still be snapshots. The page build time is when the HTML was generated; the data date, when available, is the latest FRED observation date. Sources whose date cannot be determined show no data date.
The clock tells you whether to be cautious or aggressive. But when to enter and where to stop out still need a system. See the EA Trading Bots for rent, or the indicator library to build your own.
